Now begins my diminishing popularity. Men of great intellect stay true to their thoughts, not their fame. And so begins my most damning assessment.

The Kingdom of Tryggr surprised Selene by picking Kingdom 3 instead of Kingdom 4. Seen by some as a traitorous move and others as a brave move, Demalion were the only people’s who saw it as a hostile move, blocking Vaizers ambition to reign an empire.

Maximal Output Increases The Chance of Survival

Tryggr have now found themselves in a very precarious position. If Arkadia feel a need to conquer the independent Duchy’s and install a leader loyal to Arkadia, Tryggr would prefer to support those Duchy’s in their fight against Arkadia, whether directly or indirectly. On the other hand, power hungry Demalions in the north will want to expand into Kypiq lands, acquiring resources which they don’t have access to without trade, thus increasing their trade and economic power. The same can be said for the Neran forest.

In the worst case scenario, Tryggr will find themselves fighting on 2 land fronts and 2 coastal fronts. Being in a constant state of war requires high production efficiency, a strong economy and high manpower. Demalion have the potential to nearly double Tryggrs output while Arkadia could supersede Demalions output due to a more diverse range of resources and higher population.

Even if Tryggr were able to attract the most amount of warriors as they fight in all 4 warzones, being in a perpetual state of war leads to attrition and given the above facts, Tryggr will be the first to suffer from attritional losses.

Little Room For Mistakes

Like with Arkadias leadership, Tryggr leadership have some degree of naivety. For instance, they believe Kypiq lands are going to be difficult to conquer due to ironwood trees and Kypiq ingenuity. Though not as severe as Arkadia, this level of naivety within the leadership can impact other areas of the kingdom, causing concern that the kingdom will be at a disadvantage due to naive thinking.

Despite this drawback, they do have advantages in their thinking over their adversary’s. While Arkadia and Demalion look to fight on the front foot, Tryggr are looking at the fight from purely a defensive standpoint. This shows maturity as our primitive instincts has us planning to conquer rather than planning to be conquered.

A Long Term Decline

Whether Demalion is the only aggressor or Tryggr face two aggressors, one thing is for certain. Tryggr will not have the same opportunities to colonise overseas during wartime as their neighbours due to their maximum output capacity compared with Demalion and Arkadia. So as their neighbours grow in strength from overseas colonisation, Tryggr will find they are losing status as a regional power and will look to instigate friction between Arkadia and Demalion colony’s.

There are 3 ways in which Tryggr can prevent their decline:

1. Invest in an organisation that helps stay in contact with and support those who seek independence from Demalion and Arkadia

2. Persuade Al Khezam and Demalion that Arkadia will become the continental superpower if they can control an area as resource rich and populated as Nirath

3. Offer Al Khezam a large sum of money for a defensive alliance or offer to be their vassal so as to spread the attacks and reduce pressure on output

The most preferable option is to help Demalion descend into civil war sooner rather than later. Tryggrs odds of losing territory are as good as Demalions odds of a civil war. Whichever happens first will determine Tryggrs future.